Loving the analysis but not sure of the ultimate explanation - if it's basically the same everywhere, does that mean the interventions aren't doing very much and the disease is essentially running its course? Does this tie in with the peak of infections occurring before lockdown (in this country?)
Not sure about that. The virus will cause many people to spend weeks in intensive care who will not die. These numbers will undoubtedly be higher whether or not they result in death.
There will also be short and long term effects on death rates from other diseases such as cancer. So if the...