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Will a season without European football really be a bonus for Brighton?



Brighton’s run of one win in two months has all but ended the club’s chances of securing back-to-back seasons of European qualification.



This realisation has changed the conversation around the club with many observers choosing to look at the glass half full by now suggesting that a season without the distraction of European football might be a bonus wrapped up in disguise. It’s a comforting thought, but is it true?

The answer is that it will take time to judge and there are no guarantees as of April 2024.
Rather, for this narrative to have any credibility, we’ll have to see how the Seagulls perform during the 2024/2025 season and whether there is any upturn in results. For now, we'll speculate on the potential pros and cons.

The case for rest and recuperation​

You can see why the idea of a break might be good for the Seagulls when you consider how many of Brighton’s most influential players have been ruled out until the start of next season due to injury. At least, a refreshed Brighton side with Kaoru Mitoma and Solly March in it will dramatically transform the productivity of Roberto De Zerbi’s team.

Additionally, with just the league to focus on and a clean bill of health, we might see the Seagulls repeat the highs of the 2022/2023 campaign when they finished sixth. It is a prospect that should make every Brighton fan slowly rub their hands together with glee.



While there is certainly a legitimate argument to be made about having fewer fixtures after a demanding season that has seen the treatment room fill up, there are also new realities that will need to be faced.

What will the financial impact be?​

Failing to finish in the top seven will have financial consequences as qualification for the Europa League is worth £3.3 million while a group stage win earns clubs £555,000 per match.

This loss of income which could have been spent on improving the squad might be the least of Brighton's problems though as the Seagulls are renowned for their world-beating transfer policy that repeatedly identifies the best bargains around the globe.

Indeed, Brighton's recruitment strategy showcases the effectiveness of finding the best value for money. Put plainly, much like a page would identify the cheapest flight deals, most competitive insurance policies, or list the best online casino bonuses among the landfill of online options, Tony Bloom's scouting system cuts through the noise to unearth the players with the most potential.

As cutting-edge as it is, the wider point is that Brighton don't ever break the bank in the transfer market so the financial implications of not playing in Europe are unlikely to derail what is otherwise a set of very healthy accounts.

Starting again from scratch​

More crucially, the bigger problem is that a hiatus from Europe will make it harder to once again adjust to the jarring nature of playing on Thursday and Sunday should that time come again.

Specifically, the physical and psychological demands of playing in Europe will not get any easier just because the club have had a break. These challenges are here to stay and are only made more manageable through consecutive seasons in Europe when these rigorous tests become the norm for players and staff.

Ultimately, you would have to say that missing out on Europe is more likely to be a net loss for Brighton than any sort of bonus. Yes, it is a setback that is only softened by the potential of what a Brighton squad without any injuries has the potential to achieve in the Premier League.
 


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